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7 of 8 matches with xG: 24 goals from 20.1 xG (1.19 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kortrijk 4–1 KRC Genk II | 2.31–0.71 | 73% · 17% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Kortrijk |
| Olympic Charleroi 0–3 Club Brugge II | 0.58–1.85 | 11% · 21% · 68% | Win in line with xG for Club Brugge II |
| Lokeren-Temse 0–0 Beerschot VA | 0.44–1.54 | 10% · 25% · 65% | Draw against the xG: Beerschot VA had 65% |
| Lommel United 3–2 AS Eupen | 0.94–0.82 | 37% · 33% · 30% | Win in line with xG for Lommel United |
| RWDM 2–4 Patro Eisden | 0.97–2.00 | 18% · 21% · 61% | Win in line with xG for Patro Eisden |
| Seraing United 2–2 Liège | 1.45–2.40 | 22% · 19% · 59% | Draw against the xG: Liège had 59% |
| KAA Gent II 1–0 Francs Borains | 3.33–0.75 | 86% · 9% · 5% | Win in line with xG for KAA Gent II |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.