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7 of 8 matches with xG: 16 goals from 22.0 xG (0.73 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| AS Eupen 1–1 Lokeren-Temse | 2.51–1.61 | 57% · 19% · 24% | Draw against the xG: AS Eupen had 57% |
| Liège 1–0 Lommel United | 1.20–0.45 | 55% · 31% · 14% | Win in line with xG for Liège |
| Patro Eisden 1–0 Olympic Charleroi | 0.88–1.38 | 24% · 28% · 49% | Won against the xG: Patro Eisden |
| Beerschot VA 0–0 Seraing United | 3.56–0.58 | 90% · 7% · 3% | Draw against the xG: Beerschot VA had 90% |
| KRC Genk II 0–2 RWDM | 1.84–0.75 | 63% · 22% · 15% | Won against the xG: RWDM |
| RSC Anderlecht II 2–2 K. Lierse S.K. | 2.67–0.55 | 82% · 12% · 5% | Draw against the xG: RSC Anderlecht II had 82% |
| KAA Gent II 2–4 SK Beveren | 0.75–3.28 | 5% · 10% · 85% | Win in line with xG for SK Beveren |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.