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6 of 8 matches with xG: 20 goals from 19.4 xG (1.03 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Liège 2–1 K. Lierse S.K. | 1.74–0.78 | 60% · 23% · 16% | Win in line with xG for Liège |
| Patro Eisden 4–4 KRC Genk II | 4.38–1.80 | 80% · 10% · 10% | Draw against the xG: Patro Eisden had 80% |
| AS Eupen 1–0 Kortrijk | 0.82–0.92 | 30% · 34% · 36% | Close call, AS Eupen won |
| Lokeren-Temse 1–1 Olympic Charleroi | 0.38–1.20 | 12% · 31% · 57% | Draw against the xG: Olympic Charleroi had 57% |
| Seraing United 1–2 RSC Anderlecht II | 1.36–1.89 | 28% · 22% · 50% | Win in line with xG for RSC Anderlecht II |
| Beerschot VA 2–1 Club Brugge II | 3.28–0.88 | 83% · 11% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Beerschot VA |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.