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5 of 8 matches with xG: 10 goals from 11.7 xG (0.85 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lommel United 2–0 RSC Anderlecht II | 1.94–1.33 | 52% · 22% · 26% | Win in line with xG for Lommel United |
| Kortrijk 1–0 Beerschot VA | 0.32–0.53 | 17% · 50% · 32% | Close call, Kortrijk won |
| RWDM 1–2 Lokeren-Temse | 1.00–0.98 | 35% · 31% · 34% | Close call, Lokeren-Temse won |
| KRC Genk II 2–0 Liège | 1.56–1.02 | 50% · 25% · 25% | Win in line with xG for KRC Genk II |
| Francs Borains 0–2 SK Beveren | 0.65–2.37 | 8% · 16% · 76% | Win in line with xG for SK Beveren |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.