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8 of 8 matches with xG: 27 goals from 22.8 xG (1.18 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| St. Truiden 2–1 RWDM | 1.29–1.25 | 38% · 27% · 36% | Win in line with xG for St. Truiden |
| KV Mechelen 0–2 Cercle Brugge | 1.38–2.63 | 18% · 17% · 64% | Win in line with xG for Cercle Brugge |
| AS Eupen 2–0 Charleroi | 0.72–1.16 | 23% · 31% · 46% | Won against the xG: AS Eupen |
| Anderlecht 5–1 OH Leuven | 1.65–0.84 | 57% · 24% · 19% | Win in line with xG for Anderlecht |
| Club Brugge 2–1 Antwerp | 1.02–0.39 | 51% · 35% · 14% | Win in line with xG for Club Brugge |
| KVC Westerlo 1–3 Union Saint-Gilloise | 0.65–2.26 | 9% · 17% · 74% | Win in line with xG for Union Saint-Gilloise |
| Gent 3–1 Standard Liege | 2.31–2.41 | 39% · 19% · 42% | Close call, Gent won |
| Kortrijk 0–3 Genk | 0.61–2.22 | 9% · 17% · 74% | Win in line with xG for Genk |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.