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8 of 8 matches with xG: 23 goals from 19.0 xG (1.21 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| St. Truiden 1–1 AS Eupen | 0.97–0.19 | 55% · 37% · 7% | Draw against the xG: St. Truiden had 55% |
| RWDM 1–1 Kortrijk | 0.89–0.33 | 48% · 39% · 13% | Draw in line with xG |
| OH Leuven 0–2 KVC Westerlo | 0.38–1.01 | 14% · 35% · 51% | Win in line with xG for KVC Westerlo |
| Antwerp 3–2 Genk | 2.93–1.87 | 60% · 17% · 23% | Win in line with xG for Antwerp |
| Cercle Brugge 0–3 Anderlecht | 1.01–0.91 | 37% · 32% · 32% | Close call, Anderlecht won |
| Standard Liege 1–1 KV Mechelen | 0.83–1.50 | 21% · 26% · 53% | Draw against the xG: KV Mechelen had 53% |
| Union Saint-Gilloise 2–1 Club Brugge | 2.37–0.32 | 83% · 13% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Union Saint-Gilloise |
| Charleroi 1–3 Gent | 0.76–2.75 | 8% · 13% · 79% | Win in line with xG for Gent |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.