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8 of 8 matches with xG: 26 goals from 25.3 xG (1.03 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| KVC Westerlo 3–3 St. Truiden | 1.02–1.11 | 33% · 30% · 37% | Draw in line with xG |
| Antwerp 6–0 Standard Liege | 4.06–0.08 | 98% · 2% · 0% | Win in line with xG for Antwerp |
| AS Eupen 1–3 RWDM | 1.11–2.02 | 20% · 21% · 58% | Win in line with xG for RWDM |
| KV Mechelen 1–0 Charleroi | 2.92–0.43 | 87% · 10% · 3% | Win in line with xG for KV Mechelen |
| Club Brugge 0–0 Cercle Brugge | 1.82–1.78 | 40% · 22% · 38% | Draw in line with xG |
| Genk 3–1 OH Leuven | 3.54–0.38 | 93% · 6% · 2% | Win in line with xG for Genk |
| Gent 1–1 Anderlecht | 0.39–1.16 | 12% · 32% · 56% | Draw against the xG: Anderlecht had 56% |
| Union Saint-Gilloise 3–0 Kortrijk | 2.98–0.48 | 87% · 10% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Union Saint-Gilloise |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.