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8 of 8 matches with xG: 19 goals from 20.7 xG (0.92 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| St. Truiden 1–1 Antwerp | 0.36–0.89 | 14% · 39% · 47% | Draw in line with xG |
| Cercle Brugge 2–0 AS Eupen | 3.05–0.69 | 84% · 11% · 5% | Win in line with xG for Cercle Brugge |
| Charleroi 3–2 KVC Westerlo | 1.58–0.97 | 52% · 25% · 23% | Win in line with xG for Charleroi |
| Standard Liege 1–0 Genk | 0.96–0.94 | 35% · 32% · 34% | Win in line with xG for Standard Liege |
| Gent 1–1 Union Saint-Gilloise | 1.35–0.76 | 51% · 28% · 21% | Draw against the xG: Gent had 51% |
| OH Leuven 0–1 Club Brugge | 0.48–2.59 | 5% · 12% · 83% | Win in line with xG for Club Brugge |
| Anderlecht 2–1 RWDM | 3.53–0.47 | 91% · 6% · 2% | Win in line with xG for Anderlecht |
| Kortrijk 0–3 KV Mechelen | 0.83–1.25 | 25% · 29% · 46% | Win in line with xG for KV Mechelen |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.