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8 of 8 matches with xG: 18 goals from 20.6 xG (0.87 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| KVC Westerlo 1–3 Anderlecht | 1.18–2.33 | 18% · 19% · 63% | Win in line with xG for Anderlecht |
| RWDM 0–0 Charleroi | 0.81–1.16 | 26% · 30% · 44% | Draw in line with xG |
| AS Eupen 1–1 Kortrijk | 1.25–0.58 | 53% · 30% · 17% | Draw against the xG: AS Eupen had 53% |
| Antwerp 1–0 OH Leuven | 1.72–0.88 | 57% · 24% · 19% | Win in line with xG for Antwerp |
| Genk 2–2 Gent | 2.56–1.70 | 56% · 19% · 25% | Draw against the xG: Genk had 56% |
| KV Mechelen 0–2 St. Truiden | 0.35–1.59 | 8% · 24% · 69% | Win in line with xG for St. Truiden |
| Club Brugge 2–0 Standard Liege | 1.14–0.42 | 54% · 32% · 14% | Win in line with xG for Club Brugge |
| Union Saint-Gilloise 2–1 Cercle Brugge | 1.71–1.24 | 48% · 24% · 28% | Win in line with xG for Union Saint-Gilloise |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.