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8 of 8 matches with xG: 25 goals from 23.9 xG (1.04 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kortrijk 1–2 KVC Westerlo | 0.74–1.56 | 18% · 25% · 57% | Win in line with xG for KVC Westerlo |
| Cercle Brugge 1–3 Antwerp | 1.48–1.52 | 37% · 24% · 39% | Win in line with xG for Antwerp |
| St. Truiden 1–1 OH Leuven | 2.45–0.15 | 88% · 10% · 1% | Draw against the xG: St. Truiden had 88% |
| Gent 4–0 RWDM | 4.97–0.43 | 97% · 2% · 1% | Win in line with xG for Gent |
| KV Mechelen 0–0 Club Brugge | 0.27–1.48 | 6% · 25% · 68% | Draw against the xG: Club Brugge had 68% |
| AS Eupen 1–3 Genk | 0.70–2.99 | 6% · 11% · 83% | Win in line with xG for Genk |
| Anderlecht 2–2 Standard Liege | 2.27–0.99 | 66% · 19% · 15% | Draw against the xG: Anderlecht had 66% |
| Charleroi 1–3 Union Saint-Gilloise | 0.69–1.25 | 21% · 30% · 50% | Win in line with xG for Union Saint-Gilloise |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.