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8 of 8 matches with xG: 17 goals from 20.7 xG (0.82 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| KVC Westerlo 2–0 AS Eupen | 2.24–1.21 | 61% · 20% · 20% | Win in line with xG for KVC Westerlo |
| OH Leuven 1–2 Cercle Brugge | 0.79–1.63 | 18% · 25% · 57% | Win in line with xG for Cercle Brugge |
| RWDM 3–0 St. Truiden | 1.39–0.50 | 59% · 28% · 13% | Win in line with xG for RWDM |
| Standard Liege 0–0 Charleroi | 0.25–0.57 | 13% · 51% · 36% | Draw in line with xG |
| Club Brugge 2–0 Gent | 2.21–0.35 | 80% · 15% · 5% | Win in line with xG for Club Brugge |
| Union Saint-Gilloise 1–0 KV Mechelen | 1.27–0.95 | 44% · 28% · 28% | Win in line with xG for Union Saint-Gilloise |
| Antwerp 1–1 Anderlecht | 1.94–1.20 | 55% · 22% · 23% | Draw against the xG: Antwerp had 55% |
| Genk 4–0 Kortrijk | 4.04–0.14 | 97% · 3% · 0% | Win in line with xG for Genk |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.