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8 of 8 matches with xG: 21 goals from 20.4 xG (1.03 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Genk 3–0 Antwerp | 1.84–0.07 | 82% · 17% · 1% | Win in line with xG for Genk |
| OH Leuven 3–0 AS Eupen | 1.78–1.28 | 49% · 23% · 28% | Win in line with xG for OH Leuven |
| Kortrijk 0–2 Gent | 0.60–2.23 | 8% · 17% · 75% | Win in line with xG for Gent |
| KVC Westerlo 3–0 RWDM | 1.91–1.33 | 51% · 22% · 27% | Win in line with xG for KVC Westerlo |
| Club Brugge 1–1 Union Saint-Gilloise | 1.66–0.89 | 56% · 24% · 20% | Draw against the xG: Club Brugge had 56% |
| Standard Liege 1–1 St. Truiden | 1.09–0.92 | 39% · 31% · 30% | Draw in line with xG |
| Anderlecht 2–0 Cercle Brugge | 1.23–1.03 | 41% · 28% · 31% | Win in line with xG for Anderlecht |
| Charleroi 3–1 KV Mechelen | 1.74–0.80 | 60% · 23% · 17% | Win in line with xG for Charleroi |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.