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8 of 8 matches with xG: 20 goals from 23.4 xG (0.86 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gent 1–2 KV Mechelen | 1.72–1.40 | 45% · 23% · 31% | Close call, KV Mechelen won |
| Genk 1–1 Cercle Brugge | 0.89–3.30 | 6% · 11% · 83% | Draw against the xG: Cercle Brugge had 83% |
| Standard Liege 0–1 Kortrijk | 2.32–0.44 | 80% · 15% · 5% | Won against the xG: Kortrijk |
| Club Brugge 3–0 KVC Westerlo | 3.98–0.07 | 98% · 2% · 0% | Win in line with xG for Club Brugge |
| Antwerp 4–1 Charleroi | 2.40–0.75 | 74% · 16% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Antwerp |
| Union Saint-Gilloise 2–1 St. Truiden | 1.85–0.70 | 65% · 22% · 13% | Win in line with xG for Union Saint-Gilloise |
| OH Leuven 1–1 Anderlecht | 0.80–0.76 | 33% · 36% · 31% | Draw in line with xG |
| RWDM 0–1 AS Eupen | 0.32–1.67 | 7% · 22% · 71% | Win in line with xG for AS Eupen |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.