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8 of 8 matches with xG: 19 goals from 19.8 xG (0.96 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| RWDM 2–2 Standard Liege | 1.64–1.77 | 36% · 23% · 41% | Draw in line with xG |
| Kortrijk 1–0 Charleroi | 0.68–0.48 | 35% · 42% · 22% | Close call, Kortrijk won |
| KVC Westerlo 0–3 OH Leuven | 0.94–2.30 | 14% · 18% · 68% | Win in line with xG for OH Leuven |
| Genk 0–1 Union Saint-Gilloise | 0.79–0.88 | 30% · 34% · 35% | Win in line with xG for Union Saint-Gilloise |
| Antwerp 2–1 Club Brugge | 0.78–1.41 | 21% · 27% · 52% | Won against the xG: Antwerp |
| AS Eupen 0–1 KV Mechelen | 1.18–0.31 | 59% · 32% · 10% | Won against the xG: KV Mechelen |
| Anderlecht 1–0 Gent | 1.65–0.59 | 63% · 24% · 13% | Win in line with xG for Anderlecht |
| Cercle Brugge 4–1 St. Truiden | 2.90–1.49 | 67% · 16% · 17% | Win in line with xG for Cercle Brugge |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.