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8 of 8 matches with xG: 23 goals from 21.5 xG (1.07 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| St. Truiden 1–0 Kortrijk | 1.62–0.78 | 57% · 25% · 18% | Win in line with xG for St. Truiden |
| Standard Liege 1–0 OH Leuven | 0.63–0.36 | 36% · 46% · 18% | Close call, Standard Liege won |
| Union Saint-Gilloise 2–2 KVC Westerlo | 1.95–1.96 | 39% · 21% · 40% | Draw in line with xG |
| Club Brugge 4–0 AS Eupen | 2.27–0.19 | 85% · 13% · 2% | Win in line with xG for Club Brugge |
| RWDM 0–4 Antwerp | 0.27–3.37 | 1% · 6% · 93% | Win in line with xG for Antwerp |
| KV Mechelen 1–1 Genk | 0.93–1.35 | 26% · 28% · 46% | Draw in line with xG |
| Charleroi 1–3 Anderlecht | 1.19–1.38 | 32% · 26% · 41% | Win in line with xG for Anderlecht |
| Gent 1–2 Cercle Brugge | 2.23–0.98 | 66% · 19% · 15% | Won against the xG: Cercle Brugge |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.