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8 of 8 matches with xG: 21 goals from 22.3 xG (0.94 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| KVC Westerlo 2–1 Standard Liege | 1.87–0.39 | 74% · 20% · 7% | Win in line with xG for KVC Westerlo |
| Genk 3–1 RWDM | 3.49–0.81 | 86% · 9% · 5% | Win in line with xG for Genk |
| OH Leuven 0–0 Charleroi | 0.98–0.29 | 53% · 37% · 11% | Draw against the xG: OH Leuven had 53% |
| Antwerp 0–1 KV Mechelen | 1.70–1.35 | 46% · 24% · 31% | Close call, KV Mechelen won |
| Cercle Brugge 1–1 Club Brugge | 0.41–1.62 | 9% · 23% · 68% | Draw against the xG: Club Brugge had 68% |
| Kortrijk 1–3 Union Saint-Gilloise | 0.61–2.32 | 8% · 16% · 76% | Win in line with xG for Union Saint-Gilloise |
| Anderlecht 4–1 St. Truiden | 3.12–1.37 | 72% · 14% · 14% | Win in line with xG for Anderlecht |
| AS Eupen 0–2 Gent | 0.93–1.00 | 32% · 31% · 36% | Win in line with xG for Gent |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.