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8 of 8 matches with xG: 26 goals from 25.8 xG (1.01 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| KVC Westerlo 0–1 Charleroi | 0.97–0.83 | 37% · 33% · 30% | Close call, Charleroi won |
| Cercle Brugge 2–3 KV Mechelen | 0.86–2.83 | 9% · 13% · 78% | Win in line with xG for KV Mechelen |
| OH Leuven 0–2 Union Saint-Gilloise | 0.50–1.98 | 8% · 19% · 73% | Win in line with xG for Union Saint-Gilloise |
| Standard Liege 4–2 Gent | 2.52–1.43 | 61% · 18% · 21% | Win in line with xG for Standard Liege |
| Genk 0–3 Club Brugge | 1.44–1.58 | 35% · 24% · 41% | Win in line with xG for Club Brugge |
| Antwerp 3–0 St. Truiden | 3.07–0.21 | 92% · 7% · 1% | Win in line with xG for Antwerp |
| Anderlecht 1–0 AS Eupen | 1.34–1.35 | 37% · 26% · 37% | Close call, Anderlecht won |
| Kortrijk 3–2 RWDM | 2.48–2.41 | 42% · 19% · 39% | Win in line with xG for Kortrijk |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.