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8 of 8 matches with xG: 16 goals from 20.1 xG (0.80 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| KV Mechelen 3–1 KVC Westerlo | 2.39–2.05 | 47% · 19% · 34% | Win in line with xG for KV Mechelen |
| Kortrijk 0–1 Antwerp | 0.12–0.74 | 6% · 46% · 48% | Win in line with xG for Antwerp |
| Charleroi 0–0 Cercle Brugge | 1.11–0.81 | 42% · 31% · 26% | Draw in line with xG |
| RWDM 0–3 Anderlecht | 0.86–2.48 | 11% · 16% · 73% | Win in line with xG for Anderlecht |
| Genk 1–0 Standard Liege | 2.05–0.41 | 76% · 17% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Genk |
| Club Brugge 3–1 OH Leuven | 1.78–1.03 | 55% · 23% · 22% | Win in line with xG for Club Brugge |
| Union Saint-Gilloise 1–1 Gent | 1.37–0.87 | 49% · 28% · 24% | Draw in line with xG |
| AS Eupen 1–0 St. Truiden | 0.86–1.14 | 27% · 30% · 42% | Close call, AS Eupen won |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.