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5 of 8 matches with xG: 13 goals from 11.7 xG (1.11 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| St. Truiden 0–1 Anderlecht | 0.99–0.72 | 41% · 33% · 26% | Won against the xG: Anderlecht |
| Cercle Brugge 0–1 Genk | 0.62–0.50 | 32% · 44% · 24% | Close call, Genk won |
| AS Eupen 0–5 Club Brugge | 0.61–2.60 | 6% · 13% · 80% | Win in line with xG for Club Brugge |
| Charleroi 1–1 Standard Liege | 1.55–0.55 | 62% · 25% · 13% | Draw against the xG: Charleroi had 62% |
| KVC Westerlo 1–3 Gent | 1.78–1.82 | 38% · 22% · 40% | Win in line with xG for Gent |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.