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8 of 8 matches with xG: 26 goals from 19.8 xG (1.31 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| OH Leuven 1–1 Antwerp | 0.54–0.53 | 28% · 45% · 27% | Draw in line with xG |
| Standard Liege 0–1 Cercle Brugge | 0.61–1.19 | 19% · 31% · 50% | Win in line with xG for Cercle Brugge |
| KV Mechelen 4–0 Union Saint-Gilloise | 0.88–0.59 | 40% · 37% · 23% | Win in line with xG for KV Mechelen |
| Anderlecht 2–1 KVC Westerlo | 1.88–0.97 | 59% · 22% · 19% | Win in line with xG for Anderlecht |
| Genk 0–0 Charleroi | 2.30–0.56 | 77% · 16% · 7% | Draw against the xG: Genk had 77% |
| Gent 2–2 St. Truiden | 1.99–0.82 | 65% · 21% · 15% | Draw against the xG: Gent had 65% |
| Club Brugge 7–1 RWDM | 3.17–0.88 | 82% · 11% · 7% | Win in line with xG for Club Brugge |
| Kortrijk 1–3 AS Eupen | 0.97–1.90 | 19% · 22% · 59% | Win in line with xG for AS Eupen |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.