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8 of 8 matches with xG: 23 goals from 27.7 xG (0.83 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| KVC Westerlo 2–3 KV Mechelen | 0.82–1.61 | 19% · 25% · 56% | Win in line with xG for KV Mechelen |
| AS Eupen 3–1 OH Leuven | 1.86–2.71 | 26% · 18% · 56% | Won against the xG: AS Eupen |
| Kortrijk 1–1 Standard Liege | 2.53–1.46 | 61% · 18% · 21% | Draw against the xG: Kortrijk had 61% |
| St. Truiden 0–2 Cercle Brugge | 1.31–3.96 | 8% · 9% · 83% | Win in line with xG for Cercle Brugge |
| Anderlecht 2–1 Charleroi | 1.50–2.23 | 26% · 20% · 54% | Won against the xG: Anderlecht |
| Antwerp 0–0 Gent | 0.54–0.48 | 29% · 46% · 25% | Draw in line with xG |
| RWDM 2–3 Union Saint-Gilloise | 1.97–1.94 | 40% · 21% · 39% | Close call, Union Saint-Gilloise won |
| Club Brugge 1–1 Genk | 1.17–1.64 | 27% · 24% · 48% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.