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8 of 8 matches with xG: 26 goals from 26.3 xG (0.99 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| KVC Westerlo 0–3 Antwerp | 0.61–1.44 | 16% · 27% · 57% | Win in line with xG for Antwerp |
| RWDM 2–1 Cercle Brugge | 2.05–1.70 | 46% · 21% · 32% | Win in line with xG for RWDM |
| Union Saint-Gilloise 0–2 Genk | 2.03–2.01 | 40% · 21% · 39% | Close call, Genk won |
| Club Brugge 4–2 Charleroi | 2.37–0.63 | 76% · 16% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Club Brugge |
| AS Eupen 1–3 Standard Liege | 1.25–1.73 | 28% · 24% · 49% | Win in line with xG for Standard Liege |
| Kortrijk 2–2 Anderlecht | 2.13–1.55 | 51% · 21% · 28% | Draw against the xG: Kortrijk had 51% |
| OH Leuven 1–1 Gent | 1.65–2.19 | 29% · 20% · 50% | Draw against the xG: Gent had 50% |
| St. Truiden 2–0 KV Mechelen | 1.84–1.12 | 54% · 23% · 23% | Win in line with xG for St. Truiden |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.