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8 of 8 matches with xG: 17 goals from 18.5 xG (0.92 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Standard Liege 0–0 KVC Westerlo | 0.77–0.18 | 48% · 44% · 8% | Draw in line with xG |
| Charleroi 1–0 Kortrijk | 0.92–0.76 | 37% · 34% · 28% | Win in line with xG for Charleroi |
| KV Mechelen 1–2 OH Leuven | 1.14–2.01 | 21% · 21% · 57% | Win in line with xG for OH Leuven |
| Antwerp 0–0 RWDM | 2.32–0.24 | 85% · 13% · 3% | Draw against the xG: Antwerp had 85% |
| Genk 3–3 St. Truiden | 1.75–1.50 | 44% · 23% · 33% | Draw in line with xG |
| Cercle Brugge 0–2 Union Saint-Gilloise | 1.10–1.59 | 26% · 25% · 49% | Win in line with xG for Union Saint-Gilloise |
| Anderlecht 1–1 Club Brugge | 0.94–0.56 | 43% · 36% · 21% | Draw in line with xG |
| Gent 2–1 AS Eupen | 1.60–1.16 | 48% · 25% · 28% | Win in line with xG for Gent |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.