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8 of 8 matches with xG: 24 goals from 22.6 xG (1.06 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kortrijk 2–1 Cercle Brugge | 1.50–1.55 | 37% · 24% · 39% | Close call, Kortrijk won |
| AS Eupen 1–3 Anderlecht | 1.03–2.25 | 16% · 19% · 65% | Win in line with xG for Anderlecht |
| OH Leuven 1–2 Standard Liege | 0.66–1.93 | 12% · 21% · 68% | Win in line with xG for Standard Liege |
| KV Mechelen 0–0 Antwerp | 0.65–1.60 | 15% · 25% · 60% | Draw against the xG: Antwerp had 60% |
| Union Saint-Gilloise 3–1 Charleroi | 2.37–0.32 | 83% · 13% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Union Saint-Gilloise |
| Genk 3–3 KVC Westerlo | 2.17–1.12 | 61% · 20% · 19% | Draw against the xG: Genk had 61% |
| Club Brugge 1–1 St. Truiden | 1.77–0.61 | 65% · 22% · 12% | Draw against the xG: Club Brugge had 65% |
| RWDM 1–1 Gent | 0.66–2.37 | 9% · 16% · 76% | Draw against the xG: Gent had 76% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.