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8 of 8 matches with xG: 26 goals from 24.9 xG (1.04 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Genk 2–1 Union Saint-Gilloise | 2.70–0.89 | 76% · 15% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Genk |
| Standard Liege 0–0 Antwerp | 1.04–0.64 | 45% · 33% · 22% | Draw in line with xG |
| Club Brugge 4–2 Charleroi | 3.06–1.08 | 77% · 13% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Club Brugge |
| Anderlecht 3–0 Cercle Brugge | 1.88–1.34 | 50% · 22% · 27% | Win in line with xG for Anderlecht |
| Gent 1–2 Kortrijk | 1.46–1.78 | 32% · 23% · 45% | Win in line with xG for Kortrijk |
| Beerschot VA 1–2 KVC Westerlo | 1.41–1.74 | 31% · 23% · 45% | Win in line with xG for KVC Westerlo |
| OH Leuven 3–2 St. Truiden | 1.82–0.74 | 63% · 22% · 15% | Win in line with xG for OH Leuven |
| KV Mechelen 2–1 Dender | 2.13–1.18 | 59% · 20% · 20% | Win in line with xG for KV Mechelen |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.