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8 of 8 matches with xG: 16 goals from 22.1 xG (0.72 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| St. Truiden 2–0 Beerschot VA | 2.71–1.53 | 63% · 17% · 20% | Win in line with xG for St. Truiden |
| Kortrijk 2–0 OH Leuven | 1.68–0.26 | 73% · 21% · 5% | Win in line with xG for Kortrijk |
| Charleroi 0–1 KV Mechelen | 1.10–1.20 | 33% · 28% · 38% | Win in line with xG for KV Mechelen |
| Dender 0–1 Genk | 1.53–1.49 | 39% · 24% · 37% | Close call, Genk won |
| Cercle Brugge 1–3 Club Brugge | 0.90–2.54 | 11% · 16% · 73% | Win in line with xG for Club Brugge |
| KVC Westerlo 2–0 Anderlecht | 2.10–1.18 | 58% · 21% · 21% | Win in line with xG for KVC Westerlo |
| Antwerp 0–1 Gent | 0.94–1.01 | 32% · 31% · 36% | Win in line with xG for Gent |
| Union Saint-Gilloise 3–0 Standard Liege | 1.47–0.46 | 62% · 26% · 11% | Win in line with xG for Union Saint-Gilloise |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.