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8 of 8 matches with xG: 19 goals from 20.8 xG (0.92 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beerschot VA 2–1 Anderlecht | 1.10–2.15 | 19% · 20% · 61% | Won against the xG: Beerschot VA |
| KVC Westerlo 1–2 Club Brugge | 2.01–1.89 | 42% · 21% · 37% | Close call, Club Brugge won |
| Cercle Brugge 0–0 Dender | 0.86–0.29 | 48% · 40% · 12% | Draw in line with xG |
| Union Saint-Gilloise 0–0 Gent | 1.34–0.73 | 51% · 28% · 20% | Draw against the xG: Union Saint-Gilloise had 51% |
| Genk 3–2 St. Truiden | 2.30–1.17 | 63% · 19% · 18% | Win in line with xG for Genk |
| OH Leuven 1–1 Antwerp | 1.08–0.39 | 53% · 34% · 13% | Draw against the xG: OH Leuven had 53% |
| Standard Liege 2–1 Charleroi | 1.64–1.05 | 51% · 25% · 24% | Win in line with xG for Standard Liege |
| KV Mechelen 3–0 Kortrijk | 1.73–1.02 | 54% · 24% · 22% | Win in line with xG for KV Mechelen |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.