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8 of 8 matches with xG: 24 goals from 26.6 xG (0.90 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dender 0–2 Standard Liege | 0.93–1.83 | 19% · 23% · 59% | Win in line with xG for Standard Liege |
| Cercle Brugge 2–3 Genk | 0.82–4.52 | 2% · 5% · 93% | Win in line with xG for Genk |
| Kortrijk 0–3 Club Brugge | 0.39–2.44 | 4% · 13% · 83% | Win in line with xG for Club Brugge |
| Anderlecht 2–2 KVC Westerlo | 1.73–1.44 | 45% · 23% · 32% | Draw in line with xG |
| Antwerp 2–0 Union Saint-Gilloise | 1.76–1.22 | 50% · 23% · 27% | Win in line with xG for Antwerp |
| St. Truiden 2–1 OH Leuven | 0.57–1.34 | 16% · 28% · 56% | Won against the xG: St. Truiden |
| Charleroi 3–0 Beerschot VA | 3.24–0.57 | 88% · 9% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Charleroi |
| Gent 2–0 KV Mechelen | 1.79–2.05 | 34% · 21% · 45% | Close call, Gent won |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.