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8 of 8 matches with xG: 30 goals from 23.4 xG (1.28 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht 2–3 Cercle Brugge | 1.82–1.60 | 43% · 22% · 34% | Close call, Cercle Brugge won |
| Dender 1–3 Gent | 0.71–2.21 | 11% · 18% · 72% | Win in line with xG for Gent |
| Zulte Waregem 1–0 Charleroi | 1.00–0.97 | 35% · 31% · 34% | Win in line with xG for Zulte Waregem |
| Standard Liege 0–0 KVC Westerlo | 0.43–2.24 | 6% · 15% · 79% | Draw against the xG: KVC Westerlo had 79% |
| RAAL La Louvière 5–5 Genk | 1.55–2.49 | 23% · 19% · 58% | Draw against the xG: Genk had 58% |
| OH Leuven 1–0 Antwerp | 1.96–0.24 | 79% · 17% · 4% | Win in line with xG for OH Leuven |
| Club Brugge 4–1 KV Mechelen | 3.14–0.51 | 88% · 9% · 3% | Win in line with xG for Club Brugge |
| St. Truiden 1–3 Union Saint-Gilloise | 1.00–1.49 | 25% · 26% · 49% | Win in line with xG for Union Saint-Gilloise |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.