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8 of 8 matches with xG: 17 goals from 21.4 xG (0.79 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gent 2–0 Zulte Waregem | 1.69–0.96 | 55% · 24% · 21% | Win in line with xG for Gent |
| Charleroi 0–2 OH Leuven | 2.06–0.91 | 64% · 20% · 16% | Won against the xG: OH Leuven |
| Union Saint-Gilloise 2–0 Dender | 1.63–0.46 | 66% · 24% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Union Saint-Gilloise |
| KVC Westerlo 1–2 Club Brugge | 0.75–1.94 | 14% · 21% · 65% | Win in line with xG for Club Brugge |
| Genk 1–0 St. Truiden | 1.25–0.43 | 57% · 30% · 13% | Win in line with xG for Genk |
| Antwerp 1–1 Standard Liege | 0.58–2.44 | 7% · 15% · 78% | Draw against the xG: Standard Liege had 78% |
| KV Mechelen 1–0 Anderlecht | 1.13–1.26 | 33% · 28% · 39% | Close call, KV Mechelen won |
| Cercle Brugge 1–3 RAAL La Louvière | 2.00–1.96 | 40% · 21% · 39% | Close call, RAAL La Louvière won |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.