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9 of 9 matches with xG: 32 goals from 26.8 xG (1.19 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Zulte Waregem 2–4 Club Brugge | 1.60–1.40 | 42% · 24% · 34% | Close call, Club Brugge won |
| KV Mechelen 1–0 Genk | 0.31–1.65 | 6% · 22% · 71% | Won against the xG: KV Mechelen |
| Standard Liege 1–1 Kortrijk | 1.41–1.58 | 34% · 24% · 42% | Draw in line with xG |
| Anderlecht 4–1 KVC Westerlo | 2.63–0.77 | 77% · 14% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Anderlecht |
| SK Beveren 1–2 Union Saint-Gilloise | 0.47–0.69 | 22% · 42% · 36% | Close call, Union Saint-Gilloise won |
| Cercle Brugge 2–1 Antwerp | 0.71–2.36 | 9% · 16% · 74% | Won against the xG: Cercle Brugge |
| St. Truiden 1–2 OH Leuven | 3.81–1.58 | 77% · 11% · 11% | Won against the xG: OH Leuven |
| Lommel United 2–0 Gent | 1.34–1.34 | 37% · 26% · 37% | Close call, Lommel United won |
| Charleroi 5–2 RAAL La Louvière | 2.19–0.97 | 65% · 19% · 16% | Win in line with xG for Charleroi |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.