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9 of 9 matches with xG: 41 goals from 32.7 xG (1.25 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Antwerp 3–0 Charleroi | 1.45–1.97 | 28% · 22% · 50% | Won against the xG: Antwerp |
| OH Leuven 2–2 Lommel United | 3.43–0.97 | 83% · 10% · 7% | Draw against the xG: OH Leuven had 83% |
| RAAL La Louvière 3–0 Zulte Waregem | 1.56–0.82 | 55% · 25% · 20% | Win in line with xG for RAAL La Louvière |
| KVC Westerlo 4–4 SK Beveren | 2.41–2.08 | 46% · 19% · 34% | Draw in line with xG |
| Genk 2–1 Standard Liege | 3.32–1.48 | 73% · 14% · 14% | Win in line with xG for Genk |
| Club Brugge 3–2 St. Truiden | 2.67–1.81 | 56% · 18% · 26% | Win in line with xG for Club Brugge |
| Gent 4–0 Anderlecht | 1.89–1.55 | 46% · 22% · 32% | Win in line with xG for Gent |
| Union Saint-Gilloise 5–2 Cercle Brugge | 1.70–1.23 | 48% · 24% · 28% | Win in line with xG for Union Saint-Gilloise |
| Kortrijk 1–3 KV Mechelen | 1.06–1.32 | 30% · 28% · 43% | Win in line with xG for KV Mechelen |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.