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9 of 9 matches with xG: 33 goals from 25.7 xG (1.29 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| SK Beveren 1–3 Lommel United | 0.73–1.50 | 18% · 26% · 56% | Win in line with xG for Lommel United |
| Cercle Brugge 1–2 Anderlecht | 0.66–0.83 | 27% · 37% · 37% | Close call, Anderlecht won |
| RAAL La Louvière 1–4 Club Brugge | 1.10–4.88 | 3% · 5% · 92% | Win in line with xG for Club Brugge |
| Genk 3–0 Kortrijk | 1.78–0.65 | 65% · 22% · 13% | Win in line with xG for Genk |
| Zulte Waregem 0–2 Gent | 0.75–1.50 | 19% · 26% · 55% | Win in line with xG for Gent |
| Standard Liege 0–1 Charleroi | 1.51–1.61 | 36% · 24% · 40% | Win in line with xG for Charleroi |
| Union Saint-Gilloise 1–1 OH Leuven | 1.29–1.35 | 36% · 26% · 38% | Draw in line with xG |
| KVC Westerlo 5–1 Antwerp | 2.43–0.91 | 71% · 17% · 12% | Win in line with xG for KVC Westerlo |
| KV Mechelen 4–3 St. Truiden | 0.74–1.45 | 19% · 27% · 54% | Won against the xG: KV Mechelen |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.