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9 of 9 matches with xG: 21 goals from 27.6 xG (0.76 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gent 2–1 Standard Liege | 1.30–1.11 | 41% · 27% · 32% | Win in line with xG for Gent |
| OH Leuven 2–0 RAAL La Louvière | 0.86–0.47 | 43% · 38% · 19% | Win in line with xG for OH Leuven |
| Charleroi 3–2 Cercle Brugge | 2.04–2.08 | 39% · 20% · 41% | Close call, Charleroi won |
| Anderlecht 3–0 Zulte Waregem | 2.59–0.99 | 72% · 16% · 12% | Win in line with xG for Anderlecht |
| Lommel United 0–0 KV Mechelen | 0.48–1.31 | 14% · 29% · 57% | Draw against the xG: KV Mechelen had 57% |
| Antwerp 0–2 Union Saint-Gilloise | 0.41–3.34 | 2% · 7% · 91% | Win in line with xG for Union Saint-Gilloise |
| St. Truiden 0–2 KVC Westerlo | 2.00–1.87 | 42% · 21% · 37% | Close call, KVC Westerlo won |
| Club Brugge 3–0 Genk | 2.12–1.96 | 43% · 20% · 37% | Win in line with xG for Club Brugge |
| Kortrijk 1–0 SK Beveren | 2.25–0.42 | 79% · 15% · 5% | Win in line with xG for Kortrijk |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.