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9 of 9 matches with xG: 26 goals from 27.5 xG (0.95 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| KV Mechelen 0–1 Anderlecht | 1.23–0.91 | 44% · 29% · 27% | Won against the xG: Anderlecht |
| SK Beveren 2–0 St. Truiden | 1.69–0.72 | 61% · 24% · 16% | Win in line with xG for SK Beveren |
| KVC Westerlo 4–2 Standard Liege | 1.41–1.22 | 41% · 26% · 33% | Win in line with xG for KVC Westerlo |
| OH Leuven 1–1 Cercle Brugge | 0.92–1.60 | 22% · 25% · 53% | Draw against the xG: Cercle Brugge had 53% |
| Union Saint-Gilloise 5–0 Lommel United | 3.27–0.65 | 87% · 9% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Union Saint-Gilloise |
| Club Brugge 3–1 Antwerp | 2.94–2.09 | 56% · 17% · 27% | Win in line with xG for Club Brugge |
| Genk 1–1 Gent | 0.94–0.89 | 35% · 33% · 32% | Draw in line with xG |
| Zulte Waregem 0–1 Charleroi | 1.00–1.64 | 23% · 25% · 52% | Win in line with xG for Charleroi |
| RAAL La Louvière 3–0 Kortrijk | 3.58–0.81 | 87% · 8% · 5% | Win in line with xG for RAAL La Louvière |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.