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9 of 9 matches with xG: 23 goals from 23.1 xG (1.00 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lommel United 0–1 Club Brugge | 0.65–0.80 | 27% · 37% · 36% | Close call, Club Brugge won |
| Charleroi 2–3 Union Saint-Gilloise | 2.18–1.24 | 59% · 20% · 21% | Won against the xG: Union Saint-Gilloise |
| KV Mechelen 0–4 KVC Westerlo | 0.58–2.41 | 7% · 15% · 78% | Win in line with xG for KVC Westerlo |
| Standard Liege 1–0 Antwerp | 3.42–0.83 | 85% · 9% · 5% | Win in line with xG for Standard Liege |
| St. Truiden 4–0 RAAL La Louvière | 2.40–0.44 | 81% · 14% · 5% | Win in line with xG for St. Truiden |
| Cercle Brugge 0–3 Gent | 0.49–1.22 | 15% · 31% · 54% | Win in line with xG for Gent |
| Kortrijk 0–2 Zulte Waregem | 0.55–1.19 | 17% · 31% · 52% | Win in line with xG for Zulte Waregem |
| Anderlecht 0–0 Genk | 0.70–0.40 | 38% · 43% · 19% | Draw in line with xG |
| SK Beveren 3–0 OH Leuven | 2.68–0.88 | 75% · 15% · 10% | Win in line with xG for SK Beveren |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.