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9 of 9 matches with xG: 31 goals from 29.8 xG (1.04 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Genk 4–0 SK Beveren | 3.06–0.61 | 85% · 10% · 5% | Win in line with xG for Genk |
| RAAL La Louvière 2–2 KV Mechelen | 2.17–2.11 | 41% · 20% · 39% | Draw in line with xG |
| Kortrijk 1–3 Charleroi | 1.20–1.69 | 27% · 24% · 49% | Win in line with xG for Charleroi |
| Cercle Brugge 0–1 Lommel United | 1.25–1.63 | 29% · 24% · 46% | Win in line with xG for Lommel United |
| OH Leuven 1–2 Standard Liege | 1.89–1.36 | 50% · 22% · 28% | Won against the xG: Standard Liege |
| Gent 2–1 Club Brugge | 1.38–0.65 | 55% · 28% · 18% | Win in line with xG for Gent |
| Antwerp 1–4 St. Truiden | 0.77–3.38 | 5% · 9% · 86% | Win in line with xG for St. Truiden |
| Union Saint-Gilloise 3–0 Anderlecht | 1.60–1.34 | 44% · 24% · 32% | Win in line with xG for Union Saint-Gilloise |
| KVC Westerlo 2–2 Zulte Waregem | 2.16–1.51 | 53% · 21% · 27% | Draw against the xG: KVC Westerlo had 53% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.