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9 of 9 matches with xG: 26 goals from 21.8 xG (1.19 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Standard Liege 2–0 RAAL La Louvière | 1.15–1.07 | 38% · 29% · 34% | Win in line with xG for Standard Liege |
| Zulte Waregem 4–0 SK Beveren | 2.62–0.78 | 77% · 15% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Zulte Waregem |
| Charleroi 2–0 KV Mechelen | 1.44–0.23 | 69% · 26% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Charleroi |
| Antwerp 4–4 Genk | 1.86–1.30 | 51% · 23% · 27% | Draw against the xG: Antwerp had 51% |
| Lommel United 4–0 KVC Westerlo | 1.17–0.65 | 48% · 31% · 21% | Win in line with xG for Lommel United |
| Club Brugge 1–0 Cercle Brugge | 1.76–1.00 | 55% · 23% · 21% | Win in line with xG for Club Brugge |
| St. Truiden 0–3 Union Saint-Gilloise | 0.85–2.49 | 11% · 16% · 73% | Win in line with xG for Union Saint-Gilloise |
| Gent 1–0 OH Leuven | 0.98–0.52 | 46% · 35% · 19% | Win in line with xG for Gent |
| Anderlecht 1–0 Kortrijk | 1.50–0.46 | 63% · 26% · 11% | Win in line with xG for Anderlecht |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.