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4 of 6 matches with xG: 12 goals from 11.4 xG (1.05 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Flamengo 5–0 CFRJ / Maricá | 2.21–0.17 | 85% · 13% · 2% | Win in line with xG for Flamengo |
| Boavista SC 2–0 Volta Redonda | 1.51–0.59 | 60% · 26% · 14% | Win in line with xG for Boavista SC |
| Sampaio Corrêa RJ 3–1 Portuguesa RJ | 2.46–2.23 | 45% · 19% · 36% | Win in line with xG for Sampaio Corrêa RJ |
| Vasco da Gama 1–0 Botafogo | 1.39–0.86 | 49% · 27% · 23% | Win in line with xG for Vasco da Gama |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.