Carioca - 1 2025 xG Round-Up: Matchday 1

Matchday 1 in xG

3 of 6 matches with xG: 5 goals from 7.1 xG (0.71 goals per xG).

• Most xG without a win: Fluminense 0–0 Sampaio Corrêa RJ (xG 1.82–0.97). Draw against the xG: Fluminense had 57% to win on xG.
• Win most in line with xG: Flamengo 1–2 Boavista SC (xG 0.97–1.73). The winner had 55% on xG.
• Most xG: Fluminense 0–0 Sampaio Corrêa RJ (xG 1.82–0.97). 2.79 xG in all.
• Most one-sided: Fluminense 0–0 Sampaio Corrêa RJ (xG 1.82–0.97). An xG gap of 0.85.
• Most goals above xG: Madureira, +0.96 goals above xG.
• Most goals below xG: Fluminense, -1.82 goals below xG.

Every match

Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.

More matchdays

Matchday 2