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6 of 6 matches with xG: 9 goals from 12.4 xG (0.73 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bangu 0–1 Madureira | 1.08–0.47 | 51% · 33% · 16% | Won against the xG: Madureira |
| Boavista SC 1–0 Fluminense | 0.87–0.86 | 33% · 34% · 33% | Close call, Boavista SC won |
| Volta Redonda 3–0 Flamengo | 1.99–0.14 | 83% · 15% · 2% | Win in line with xG for Volta Redonda |
| Vasco da Gama 0–0 Nova Iguaçu | 0.35–0.89 | 14% · 39% · 47% | Draw in line with xG |
| Portuguesa RJ 0–1 CFRJ / Maricá | 0.89–0.89 | 33% · 33% · 33% | Win in line with xG for CFRJ / Maricá |
| Sampaio Corrêa RJ 2–1 Botafogo | 3.17–0.76 | 84% · 10% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Sampaio Corrêa RJ |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.