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3 of 5 matches with xG: 6 goals from 8.1 xG (0.74 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Santa Cruz 1–0 Retrô | 1.43–1.52 | 36% · 25% · 40% | Close call, Santa Cruz won |
| Decisão 3–0 Petrolina | 1.91–0.55 | 70% · 20% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Decisão |
| Nautico Recife 2–0 Maguary PE | 1.43–1.25 | 41% · 26% · 33% | Win in line with xG for Nautico Recife |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.