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2 of 5 matches with xG: 5 goals from 3.7 xG (1.36 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sport Recife 1–1 Retrô | 0.46–0.27 | 30% · 54% · 16% | Draw in line with xG |
| Jaguaré 2–1 Decisão | 2.31–0.65 | 75% · 16% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Jaguaré |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.