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10 of 10 matches with xG: 27 goals from 24.3 xG (1.11 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gremio 0–3 Corinthians | 0.66–1.98 | 11% · 20% · 69% | Win in line with xG for Corinthians |
| Atlético Mineiro 1–0 Athletico Paranaense | 1.37–0.39 | 62% · 28% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Atlético Mineiro |
| Bahia 2–0 Atletico Goianiense | 2.98–0.36 | 89% · 8% · 2% | Win in line with xG for Bahia |
| Flamengo 2–2 Vitoria | 1.92–0.96 | 60% · 22% · 18% | Draw against the xG: Flamengo had 60% |
| Botafogo 2–1 Sao Paulo | 1.88–0.32 | 76% · 19% · 5% | Win in line with xG for Botafogo |
| Palmeiras 0–1 Fluminense | 0.42–0.56 | 22% · 47% · 31% | Close call, Fluminense won |
| RB Bragantino 5–1 Criciuma | 2.90–0.34 | 89% · 9% · 2% | Win in line with xG for RB Bragantino |
| Fortaleza EC 3–0 Internacional | 1.24–1.18 | 38% · 28% · 35% | Win in line with xG for Fortaleza EC |
| Cuiaba 1–2 Vasco da Gama | 1.95–1.15 | 56% · 22% · 22% | Won against the xG: Vasco da Gama |
| Juventude 0–1 Cruzeiro | 1.42–0.35 | 64% · 27% · 9% | Won against the xG: Cruzeiro |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.