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10 of 10 matches with xG: 25 goals from 22.2 xG (1.13 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corinthians 3–0 Bahia | 1.78–0.35 | 73% · 21% · 7% | Win in line with xG for Corinthians |
| Vasco da Gama 2–0 Atlético Mineiro | 1.32–0.64 | 53% · 29% · 18% | Win in line with xG for Vasco da Gama |
| Vitoria 1–1 Gremio | 1.49–0.64 | 58% · 26% · 16% | Draw against the xG: Vitoria had 58% |
| Sao Paulo 1–2 Juventude | 0.50–1.10 | 17% · 33% · 50% | Win in line with xG for Juventude |
| Criciuma 0–3 Flamengo | 0.80–1.61 | 19% · 25% · 57% | Win in line with xG for Flamengo |
| Internacional 0–1 Botafogo | 0.84–0.08 | 54% · 43% · 3% | Won against the xG: Botafogo |
| Cruzeiro 1–2 Palmeiras | 0.62–2.97 | 5% · 11% · 84% | Win in line with xG for Palmeiras |
| Atletico Goianiense 3–1 Fortaleza EC | 1.28–1.57 | 31% · 25% · 44% | Close call, Atletico Goianiense won |
| Fluminense 1–0 Cuiaba | 1.88–0.05 | 83% · 16% · 1% | Win in line with xG for Fluminense |
| Athletico Paranaense 1–2 RB Bragantino | 1.87–0.83 | 62% · 22% · 16% | Won against the xG: RB Bragantino |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.