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10 of 10 matches with xG: 36 goals from 27.7 xG (1.30 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético Mineiro 2–3 Juventude | 2.96–1.09 | 75% · 14% · 11% | Won against the xG: Juventude |
| Palmeiras 1–3 Botafogo | 1.54–1.30 | 43% · 25% · 32% | Close call, Botafogo won |
| Cuiaba 1–2 Bahia | 1.60–1.00 | 51% · 25% · 24% | Won against the xG: Bahia |
| Criciuma 2–4 Corinthians | 0.68–2.32 | 9% · 17% · 74% | Win in line with xG for Corinthians |
| Vasco da Gama 2–2 Atletico Goianiense | 1.02–1.23 | 31% · 29% · 41% | Draw in line with xG |
| Gremio 2–1 Sao Paulo | 1.71–0.23 | 75% · 21% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Gremio |
| Flamengo 3–2 Internacional | 2.59–1.17 | 68% · 17% · 15% | Win in line with xG for Flamengo |
| Vitoria 2–0 Fortaleza EC | 2.74–0.59 | 82% · 12% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Vitoria |
| RB Bragantino 1–1 Cruzeiro | 0.37–0.94 | 14% · 37% · 49% | Draw in line with xG |
| Athletico Paranaense 1–1 Fluminense | 1.17–1.45 | 30% · 26% · 44% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.