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10 of 10 matches with xG: 22 goals from 20.8 xG (1.06 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Botafogo 1–1 Vitoria | 1.82–0.50 | 70% · 21% · 9% | Draw against the xG: Botafogo had 70% |
| Atletico Goianiense 0–1 Palmeiras | 0.24–0.76 | 11% · 44% · 45% | Win in line with xG for Palmeiras |
| Juventude 1–1 Cuiaba | 1.25–0.54 | 54% · 30% · 16% | Draw against the xG: Juventude had 54% |
| Sao Paulo 2–2 Atlético Mineiro | 0.97–1.03 | 33% · 31% · 36% | Draw in line with xG |
| Internacional 4–1 RB Bragantino | 3.01–0.30 | 90% · 8% · 2% | Win in line with xG for Internacional |
| Bahia 1–1 Athletico Paranaense | 2.21–0.81 | 69% · 18% · 12% | Draw against the xG: Bahia had 69% |
| Corinthians 3–1 Vasco da Gama | 1.20–0.27 | 61% · 31% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Corinthians |
| Fluminense 0–0 Criciuma | 1.05–0.97 | 37% · 31% · 33% | Draw in line with xG |
| Fortaleza EC 0–0 Flamengo | 0.22–1.32 | 6% · 28% · 66% | Draw against the xG: Flamengo had 66% |
| Cruzeiro 1–1 Gremio | 1.55–0.75 | 56% · 26% · 18% | Draw against the xG: Cruzeiro had 56% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.