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10 of 10 matches with xG: 23 goals from 23.1 xG (1.00 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corinthians 2–1 Cruzeiro | 2.23–0.25 | 83% · 14% · 3% | Win in line with xG for Corinthians |
| RB Bragantino 1–1 Sao Paulo | 1.92–0.50 | 72% · 20% · 9% | Draw against the xG: RB Bragantino had 72% |
| Athletico Paranaense 2–0 Atletico Goianiense | 1.99–1.18 | 56% · 22% · 22% | Win in line with xG for Athletico Paranaense |
| Criciuma 0–1 Vitoria | 0.75–0.95 | 28% · 34% · 39% | Win in line with xG for Vitoria |
| Bahia 1–2 Palmeiras | 1.70–0.43 | 69% · 22% · 9% | Won against the xG: Palmeiras |
| Gremio 2–2 Juventude | 0.63–1.53 | 15% · 26% · 59% | Draw against the xG: Juventude had 59% |
| Cuiaba 1–2 Flamengo | 0.39–1.97 | 6% · 18% · 75% | Win in line with xG for Flamengo |
| Atlético Mineiro 0–0 Botafogo | 0.09–2.11 | 1% · 13% · 86% | Draw against the xG: Botafogo had 86% |
| Vasco da Gama 0–1 Internacional | 1.09–1.26 | 32% · 28% · 40% | Win in line with xG for Internacional |
| Fluminense 2–2 Fortaleza EC | 0.96–1.16 | 30% · 30% · 40% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.