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10 of 10 matches with xG: 18 goals from 26.0 xG (0.69 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Internacional 2–0 Fluminense | 0.83–0.74 | 35% · 36% · 30% | Close call, Internacional won |
| Palmeiras 1–0 Gremio | 2.51–0.72 | 76% · 15% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Palmeiras |
| Vitoria 1–2 Corinthians | 1.68–1.00 | 53% · 24% · 22% | Won against the xG: Corinthians |
| Botafogo 0–0 Cuiaba | 2.78–0.16 | 91% · 8% · 1% | Draw against the xG: Botafogo had 91% |
| Cruzeiro 2–1 Criciuma | 2.89–1.05 | 75% · 14% · 11% | Win in line with xG for Cruzeiro |
| Fortaleza EC 3–0 Vasco da Gama | 2.05–0.19 | 82% · 15% · 3% | Win in line with xG for Fortaleza EC |
| Atletico Goianiense 0–0 RB Bragantino | 0.36–1.58 | 8% · 24% · 68% | Draw against the xG: RB Bragantino had 68% |
| Juventude 2–1 Bahia | 2.25–0.66 | 74% · 17% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Juventude |
| Sao Paulo 2–1 Athletico Paranaense | 1.43–0.22 | 69% · 26% · 5% | Win in line with xG for Sao Paulo |
| Flamengo 0–0 Atlético Mineiro | 2.06–0.84 | 66% · 20% · 14% | Draw against the xG: Flamengo had 66% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.