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10 of 10 matches with xG: 22 goals from 21.8 xG (1.01 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fluminense 2–2 Gremio | 2.39–1.73 | 53% · 19% · 28% | Draw against the xG: Fluminense had 53% |
| RB Bragantino 0–0 Cuiaba | 1.00–0.45 | 48% · 35% · 16% | Draw in line with xG |
| Athletico Paranaense 1–2 Vitoria | 1.05–1.19 | 32% · 29% · 39% | Win in line with xG for Vitoria |
| Juventude 0–3 Fortaleza EC | 1.25–0.92 | 44% · 29% · 27% | Won against the xG: Fortaleza EC |
| Corinthians 2–0 Palmeiras | 0.81–1.21 | 25% · 30% · 45% | Won against the xG: Corinthians |
| Internacional 2–0 Criciuma | 1.36–0.15 | 69% · 27% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Internacional |
| Bahia 0–3 Sao Paulo | 1.44–1.00 | 47% · 27% · 26% | Won against the xG: Sao Paulo |
| Botafogo 3–0 Vasco da Gama | 2.59–0.63 | 79% · 14% · 7% | Win in line with xG for Botafogo |
| Cruzeiro 0–1 Flamengo | 0.73–0.38 | 40% · 43% · 17% | Won against the xG: Flamengo |
| Atletico Goianiense 1–0 Atlético Mineiro | 0.82–0.66 | 36% · 37% · 27% | Close call, Atletico Goianiense won |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.